Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1.755117 2.001853 2.272738 2.592512 2.960093 3.369881 3.862038
2025-09-28 1.344342 1.653615 2.020924 2.490492 3.076561 3.786145 4.713843
2025-10-05 1.158889 1.519963 1.978524 2.606330 3.447809 4.542758 6.085420
2025-10-12 1.022855 1.418267 1.950573 2.724433 3.828972 5.361147 7.669170
2025-10-19 0.901072 1.311699 1.893495 2.785351 4.131408 6.108410 9.271319
2025-10-26 0.800478 1.216864 1.834383 2.827156 4.402978 6.840623 10.960953
2025-11-02 0.693578 1.095501 1.716166 2.757190 4.485775 7.287252 12.263865
2025-11-09 0.591611 0.966853 1.567615 2.614279 4.424204 7.483727 13.169956
2025-11-16 0.528085 0.891343 1.493172 2.580341 4.534684 7.974683 14.652919
2025-11-23 0.472151 0.821056 1.417722 2.532437 4.610153 8.408462 16.091026
2025-11-30 0.450212 0.806554 1.435556 2.651034 5.000662 9.463675 18.874615
2025-12-07 0.418730 0.770882 1.410828 2.686504 5.236975 10.256543 21.259811
2025-12-14 0.380975 0.720642 1.356036 2.662616 5.364606 10.875755 23.439711
2025-12-21 0.338953 0.657503 1.269672 2.565560 5.331578 11.165947 24.968266
2025-12-28 0.326212 0.650046 1.290589 2.689475 5.778898 12.536328 29.177936
2026-01-04 0.314269 0.642684 1.310618 2.813999 6.245943 14.022794 33.943236
2026-01-11 0.297536 0.623363 1.303514 2.878357 6.587235 15.277132 38.382529
2026-01-18 0.280574 0.601531 1.288362 2.922350 6.887361 16.481052 42.926430
2026-01-25 0.256053 0.560432 1.226497 2.850268 6.898496 16.983438 45.710869
2026-02-01 0.228577 0.509741 1.137570 2.702457 6.701099 16.931232 46.961789
2026-02-08 0.211831 0.481708 1.097202 2.667408 6.784698 17.617783 50.444770
2026-02-15 0.195736 0.453473 1.053267 2.617849 6.823475 18.191581 53.713288
2026-02-22 0.191625 0.453225 1.075825 2.740700 7.341786 20.160691 61.622489